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State Deep DiveNSW

New South Wales Disability & NDIS

NSW has the largest NDIS participant base in Australia with over 200,000 participants. Provider concentration in metro Sydney with significant thin markets in Western NSW.

NDIS Payments
$14.2B
ROGS 2026
Participation
29.2
per 1,000 population (0-64)
Plan Satisfaction
69%
plan implementation
Critical Thin Markets
16
LGAs with no providers

ROGS 2026

System Outcomes — New South Wales

IndicatorValuePeriod
Participants — autism (%)38.62025
Average plan payment — Indigenous ($K)402025
Average plan payment — metro ($K)492025
Average plan payment — remote ($K)392025
Participants — intellectual disability (%)15.32025
NDIS contributions ($'000)$4.0B2024-25
NDIS participants per 1,000 (0-64)29.22025
Participants — psychosocial disability (%)9.02025
Unauthorised chemical restraint9.32024-25
Unauthorised physical restraint4.12024-25
Unauthorised seclusion incidents0.92024-25
Plan implementation satisfaction (%)68.62025
Total disability expenditure ($M)$20K2024-25
Total NDIS payments ($M)$14.2M2024-25
Transport difficulty — severe disability (%)37.32022
Transport difficulty — all disability (%)17.32022
Plan utilisation — Indigenous (%)65.72025
Plan utilisation — metro (%)74.02025
Plan utilisation — non-Indigenous (%)71.62025
Plan utilisation — regional (%)65.92025
Plan utilisation — remote (%)50.42025
Source: Productivity Commission, Report on Government Services 2026

Thin Market Analysis

NDIS thin markets in New South Wales

LGARemotenessParticipantsProvidersStatusDesert
Unincorporated NSWVery Remote1824ADEQUATE139
Unincorporated NSWVery Remote1824ADEQUATE139
Unincorporated NSWRemote1824ADEQUATE130
Unincorporated NSWRemote1824ADEQUATE130
Narromine (A)1950CRITICAL
Lachlan (A)1520CRITICAL
Gunnedah (A)3720CRITICAL
Cowra (A)4140CRITICAL
Temora (A)1580CRITICAL
Eurobodalla (A)1,1410CRITICAL
Warren (A)620CRITICAL
Lismore (C)2,0460CRITICAL
North Sydney (A)7360CRITICAL
Broken Hill (C)6800CRITICAL
Fairfield (C)5,2800CRITICAL
Mosman (A)2870CRITICAL
Hawkesbury (C)1,9990CRITICAL
Brewarrina (A)320CRITICAL
NSW - Other150CRITICAL
Liverpool (C)6,9540CRITICAL

Policy Timeline

Key legislation, inquiries, and reforms

2024
budgetNDIS Budget: $42.7B for 2024-25

NDIS expenditure reaches $42.7B annually. Growth moderation target of 8% (down from 14%). Fraud and compliance measures.

2024
legislationGetting the NDIS Back on Track Act 2024

Major NDIS reform legislation. New needs assessments, budgets replace plan values, foundational supports, participant pathway redesign.

2023
reportNDIS Review — Final Report

Independent review by Prof. Bruce Bonyhady and Lisa Paul. 26 recommendations including redesign of NDIS Act, new "foundational supports" outside NDIS, better planning.

2023
reportDisability Royal Commission — Final Report

Royal Commission into Violence, Abuse, Neglect and Exploitation of People with Disability. 7 years, 10,000+ submissions, 222 recommendations.

2022
amendmentNDIS Quality and Safeguards Commission strengthened

Enhanced compliance and enforcement powers. New worker screening requirements. Practice standards for behaviour support.

2021
frameworkAustralia's Disability Strategy 2021-2031

National strategy across 7 outcome areas. Replaces NDS 2010-2020. Guiding Principles include human rights, self-determination, accessibility.

2020
legislationNDIS Participant Service Guarantee

Legislated service standards including timeframes for plan approval, plan reviews, and access decisions.

2014
frameworkNSW NDIS full scheme transition begins

NSW first major jurisdiction to begin full NDIS transition. Bilateral agreement with Commonwealth.

2013
legislationNDIS Act 2013

National Disability Insurance Scheme established. Lifetime approach to disability support, moving from block funding to individual packages.

Oversight & Accountability

Recommendations from inquiries, audits, and commissions

BodyRecommendationStatus
ANAO
NDIS Decision-Making Audit
ANAO-DIS-1Improve consistency and transparency of NDIS access and planning decisionspartially implemented
Disability Royal Commission
Final Report
DRC-1Phase out and prohibit group homes and congregate settings for people with disability by 2043pending
Disability Royal Commission
Final Report
DRC-2Establish a Disability Rights Act to enshrine rights of people with disability in legislationpending
Disability Royal Commission
Final Report
DRC-3Eliminate use of restrictive practices (chemical, mechanical, physical restraint, seclusion) by 2033pending
Disability Royal Commission
Final Report
DRC-4All states and territories raise minimum age of criminal responsibility to 14 yearspending
Joint Standing Committee on NDIS
NDIS Workforce Inquiry
JSC-1Develop national NDIS workforce strategy with pathway programs, wage increases, and rural incentivespartially implemented
NDIS Review
Working together to deliver the NDIS
NDISR-1Establish new "foundational supports" funded by all governments, outside the NDISpartially implemented
NDIS Review
Working together to deliver the NDIS
NDISR-2Replace current planning process with new needs assessment and budget-based approachpartially implemented
NDIS Review
Working together to deliver the NDIS
NDISR-3Create navigator roles to help participants access both NDIS and foundational supportspending

Cross-System Organisations

Entities receiving disability/NDIS funding that also appear in other domains

OrganisationSystemsFunding
Life Without Barriers
child protectionndis
$113.4M
Aruma Services Limited
child protectionndis
$31.9M
THE TRUSTEE FOR THE NEXTT HEALTH TRUST
child protectionndis
$13.6M
Southern Cross Care Services Pty Limited
child protectionndis
$12.8M
Integratedliving Australia Ltd
child protectionndis
$5.9M
Stride Mental Health Limited
child protectionndis
$3.6M
Uniting Church In Australia Frontier Services
child protectionndis
$3.4M
Technical Aid To The Disabled
child protectionndis
$2.3M
Mission Australia
child protectionndis
$789K
Randstad Pty Limited
child protectionndis
$502K
St George Meals on Wheels (NSW) Inc
child protectionndis
$17K

Cross-System